一类改进最大熵方法的可调参数分析

在结构可靠性分析中,引入含可调参数的转换函数能对传统的最大熵方法进行改进,获得更高的失效概率预测精度。但是,此可调参数的最佳取值很难确定。针对这一问题,引入概率守恒方程,从功能函数转换前后所得概率密度函数出发,建立其最大熵值的变化关系,给出转换前后最大熵值之差的理论形式。通过对三种典型单调非线性转换函数开展算例研究,发现功能函数转换前后的最大熵值之差与转换函数的最佳可调参数值有关。改变可调参数值驱使最大熵值之差变化的同时,改进最大熵方法能遍历到更好的失效概率估计值。     

The maximum number of columns in supersaturated designs with

Cheng and Tang [Biometrika, 88 (2001), pp. 1169–1174] derived an upper bound on the maximum number of columns that can be accommodated in a two‐symbol supersaturated design (SSD) for a given number of rows () and a maximum in absolute value correlation between any two columns (). In particular, they proved that for (mod ) and . However, the only known SSD satisfying this upper bound is when . By utilizing a computer search, we prove that for , and . These results are obtained by proving the nonexistence of certain resolvable incomplete blocks designs. The combinatorial properties of the RIBDs are used to reduce the search space. Our results improve the lower bound for SSDs with rows and columns, for , and . Finally, we show that a skew‐type Hadamard matrix of order can be used to construct an SSD with rows and columns that proves . Hence, we establish for and for all (mod ) such that . Our result also implies that when is a prime power and (mod ). We conjecture that for all and (mod ), where is the maximum number of equiangular lines in with pairwise angle .     

Persistence of sums of correlated increments and clustering in cellular automata

Let $T$ be the first return time to $(?\infty ,0]$ of sums of increments given by a functional of a stationary Markov chain. We determine the asymptotic behavior of the survival probability, $\mathbb{P}(T\ge t)～C{t}^{?1∕2}$ for an explicit constant $C$. Our analysis is based on a connection between the survival probability and the running maximum of the time-reversed process, and relies on a functional central limit theorem for Markov chains. As applications, we recover known clustering results for the 3-color cyclic cellular automaton and the Greenberg–Hastings model, and we prove a new clustering result for the 3-color firefly cellular automaton.     

Anti‐Pasch optimal packings with triples

It is shown that for , there exists an optimal packing with triples on points that contains no Pasch configurations. Furthermore, for all (mod 6), there exists a pairwise balanced design of order , whose blocks are all triples apart from a single quintuple, and that has no Pasch configurations amongst its triples.     

Anisotropy Effects and Observational Data on the Constraints of Evolution Dark Energy Models

We investigate cosmological dark energy models where the accelerated expansion of the universe is driven by a field with an anisotropic universe. The constraints on the parameters are obtained by maximum likelihood analysis using observational of 194 Type Ia supernovae(SNIa) and the most recent joint light-curve analysis(JLA) sample. In particular we reconstruct the dark energy equation of state parameter w(z) and the deceleration parameter q(z). We find that the best fit dynamical w(z) obtained from the 194 SNIa dataset does not cross the phantom divide line w(z) =-1 and remains above and close to w(z)≈-0.92 line for the whole redshift range 0 ≤ z ≤ 1.75 showing no evidence for phantom behavior. By applying the anisotropy effect on the ΛCDM model, the joint analysis indicates that ?_(σ0)= 0.0163 ± 0.03,with 194 SNIa, ?_(σ0)=-0.0032 ± 0.032 with 238 the SiFTO sample of JLA and ?_(σ0)= 0.011 ± 0.0117 with 1048 the SALT2 sample of Pantheon at 1σ′confidence interval. The analysis shows that by considering the anisotropy, it leads to more best fit parameters in all models with JLA SNe datasets. Furthermore, we use two statistical tests such as the usual χ_(min)~2/dof and p-test to compare two dark energy models with ΛCDM model. Finally we show that the presence of anisotropy is confirmed in mentioned models via SNIa dataset.     

Was Pauling Mistaken about Metals?

Pauling described metallic bonds using resonance. The maximum probability domains in the Kronig–Penney model can show a picture of it. When the walls are opaque (and the band gap is large) the maximum probability domain for an electron pair essentially corresponds to the region between the walls: the electron pairs are localized within two consecutive walls. However, when the walls become transparent (and the band gaps closes), the maximum probability domain can be moved through the system without a significant loss in probability.     

Monomer relative affinity in a copolymer

This paper analyzes data from experiments on simple polymer chains. It measures the extent to which a particular monomer prefers to link with another of the same type. To analyze the data, it derives the likelihood function for a two‐state Markov model in which only the number in each state, but not the order, is observed. This technology is applied to a data set on which experimenters mixed lactic‐glycolic monomers with a known proportion of a contaminant consisting of an extra lactic acid. The resulting copolymers were subjected to matrix‐assisted laser desorption ionization mass spectrometry. This records the number of copolymers at each atomic weight, which can be associated with a given length of copolymer and number of contaminant monomers. Analysis of the data shows that the proportion of contaminant monomers exceeded the proportion of experimentally induced contaminant. Maximum likelihood estimates using the data show that lactic‐glycolic monomers show a positive affinity for the contaminant. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An alternative proof of lower bounds for the first eigenvalue on manifolds

Recently, Andrews and Clutterbuck [1] gave a new proof of the optimal lower eigenvalue bound on manifolds via modulus of continuity for solutions of the heat equation. In this short note, we give an alternative proof of Theorem 2 in [1]. More precisely, following Ni's method (Section 6 of [5]), we give an elliptic proof of this theorem.